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Post subject: Re: Weather Outlook into Early November
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![]() Oh my, Big Time poster! ![]() Joined: Feb 19, 2007 5:52 pm
Posts: 2969
Location: Conifer Mountain
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Fairly nice day across the state today with a few mountain flurries above 8000 ft, but mostly sunny elsewhere as temps are running on the col side of average.
Next system to impact CO will move down from the northwest on Friday with precip developing along and west of the Divide Friday evening and then moving east into eastern CO Friday night into Saturday morning. Gusty westerly winds will be in place Friday as temps warm to near to slightly above average. Snow level with this system will start near 8000 ft and lower to near 5000 ft by Saturday morning. Mostly light precip expected east of the Front Range Crest, but 5-10 inches of snow will be possible over the central and northern mountains, which may cause travel issues over mountain passes. For foothill areas, generally looking at from a trace to 2 inches of snow from Friday evening through Saturday afternoon. Temps will remain below average on Saturday. Conditions will clear out Saturday night with cool temps by Sunday morning. Sunday will start out nice, then next system moves in quickly with precip developing along and west of the Divide by late Sunday morning and will move east Sunday afternoon and evening to about the I-25 corridor. Snow level begins near 8000 ft Sunday afternoon lowering to 6000 ft by Monday morning. Mountains could see an additional 6-12 inches of snow Sunday into Monday, while foothill areas may see another 1/2 to 2 inches. Snow could persist into Monday afternoon, then diminish Monday evening into Tuesday morning. Temps look to remain below average Monday. Tuesday looks to remain mostly dry statewide as temps remain below average. Next system is forecast to move into western CO Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with snow down to 4000-5000 ft. Snow will move east into eastern CO during the day on Wednesday and finally diminish Wednesday night. Thursday into next weekend looks dry statewide as temps will gradually warm to above average by next weekend. Longer range models suggest a upper level pattern change the following week which shows the potential for a stronger system for CO Tuesday Nov 13 through Thursday Nov 15, but that remains in the fairy tale category for now. _________________ "Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get" - R. Heinlein. "Sunshine is delicious, rain is refreshing, wind braces us up, snow is exhilarating; there is really no such thing as bad weather, only different kinds of good weather" - John Ruskin |
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Post subject: Re: Weather Outlook into Early November
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![]() Oh my, Big Time poster! ![]() Joined: Feb 19, 2007 5:52 pm
Posts: 2969
Location: Conifer Mountain
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Breezy day across much of the state today as strong northwest flow aloft and a strong surface pressure gradient combine to create breezy to windy conditions across much of the state. A few snow flurries at higher elevations today but nothing noteworthy. Temps running near to slightly above average in most areas, with downslope winds creating warming on east side of mountains. As n ext system approaches CO tonight, winds will pick up with speeds in the 30-60 mph range possible in the mountains and foothills. Snow will also pick up tonight along and west of the Front Range Crest with snow level around 8000 ft at midnight lowering to 6000 ft by Saturday morning. Mountains expected to pick up 5-10 inches from tonight through Saturday afternoon. Best precip chances in our foothills will be between midnight and 6 am where a dusting to an inch or two will be possible. Saturday will remain cool and breezy with isolated showers possible though Saturday afternoon. Not expecting any additional accumulation in the foothills during the day, but travel across mountain passes will likely include winter driving conditions. Conditions should clear out Saturday night and winds will subside.
Sunday starts out cool but mostly sunny, then next system will move into western CO Sunday afternoon and precip moves east to near the foothills Sunday evening into Monday morning. Snow level start out around 8000 ft Sunday afternoon and lowers to near 6000 ft by Monday morning. Mountains likely to see an additional 5-10 inches of snow, while foothills may see a dusting to 2 inches through Monday afternoon. Conditions should clear out by Monday evening as temps remain below average Sunday and Monday. Tuesday looks to remain dry statewide as temps remain on the cool side of average. Next system moves down over CO Wednesday into Thursday. Snow should move into CO Wednesday afternoon and intensify across all of CO Wednesday night into Thursday afternoon. Friday looks dry and cool. Models then begin to diverge next weekend, as GFS bring another upper trough over CO with more snow, while the ECMWF builds upper ridge over CO and keeps things dry and mild. It appears the larger scale upper level pattern will be going through a long wave cycle change late next week, so it may take the models a few days to get things sorted. _________________ "Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get" - R. Heinlein. "Sunshine is delicious, rain is refreshing, wind braces us up, snow is exhilarating; there is really no such thing as bad weather, only different kinds of good weather" - John Ruskin |
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