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 Post subject: Mostly Dry and Mild Through the End of October
Post Posted: Oct 17, 2018 12:52 pm 
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After some early season cold and snow last week, it appears the majority for the remainder of October will be more on the dry and mild side across the state. There is currently a Rex Block along the West Coast with a upper ridge over the Pacific Northwest and a upper low over the Desert Southwest. Models have the upper low ejecting out across CO on Thursday which may bring some isolated showers across portions of western CO along and west of the Divide with snow level near 12,000 ft. Upper ridge builds over CO Friday through Sunday, which will bring mild temps and dry conditions statewide.

For next week, next upper trough under the Rex Block will move across CO late Monday into Wednesday which will bring more isolated showers along and west of the Divide with snow level near 12,000 ft. A few showers may be possible in foothill areas on Wednesday, but any precip would be very light.

Models suggest upper pattern will change late next week as upper ridge builds along the West Coast with a strong northwest flow aloft over CO. This may allow some precip along with much cooler temps to move into CO from next Friday through the end of the month, but too early for any specifics.

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"Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get" - R. Heinlein.

"Sunshine is delicious, rain is refreshing, wind braces us up, snow is exhilarating; there is really no such thing as bad weather, only different kinds of good weather" - John Ruskin


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 Post subject: Re: Mostly Dry and Mild Through the End of October
Post Posted: Oct 20, 2018 2:18 pm 
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Beautiful Fall day across the state with sunny skies and mild temps. Looks like a repeat on Sunday.

For the week ahead, a upper level trough will move from the Great Basin on Monday across CO on Tuesday into Wednesday. This will bring a chance for showers from MOnday afternoon through Wednesday morning for much of CO. Precip Monday should remain mostly west of the Divide, then precip chances for most of CO on Tuesday and Wednesday. Precip amounts will remain light, with most areas seeing under 0.10 inches, but up to 0.25 inches in some mountain areas. Snow level should range between 10,000 and 12,000 ft, so foothill areas not expected to see any accumulating snow, while a few inches will be possible above 10,000 ft in mountain areas.

Late in the week, a ridge builds along the West Coast leaving CO under a briks but dry northwest flow aloft. Temps should remain near average but some gusty westerly winds will be possible in the mountains and foothills Thursday into Saturday. Sunday looks dry and mild.

Next week, models bring a powerful upper trough from the Pacific Northwest into the Great Basin Tuesday and move it across CO on Wednesday. If models are correct, this would bring much cooler temps with snow down to plains level late Tuesday into Thursday. Much too early to get excited about a Halloween snowstorm, but something to keep en eye on.

_________________
"Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get" - R. Heinlein.

"Sunshine is delicious, rain is refreshing, wind braces us up, snow is exhilarating; there is really no such thing as bad weather, only different kinds of good weather" - John Ruskin


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