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 Post subject: Weather Outlook Jan 22-31
Post Posted: Jan 22, 2018 1:57 pm 
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Location: Conifer Mountain
Clear but cool and breezy day across the state in the wake of our winter storm. Winds will gradually subside during the day as temps remain below average. Expect dry conditions to persist through Thursday this week statewide. Temps will remain on the cool side of average Tuesday, then warm to near to slightly above average Wednesday and Thursday as upper level ridge moves over the state.

Next system will bring precip to CO beginning Thursday night and persist into Friday afternoon. Precip will spread into western CO Thursday night with snow level near 6000 ft initially lowering to 4000 ft by Friday morning. Precip will remain mostly along and west of the Front Range Crest, but some light snow may be possible in foothills areas Friday, but not currently expecting much if any accumulation. Mountains could see 2-6 inches from this system. Colder air will move in with this system, so temps will be below average on Friday. Some lingering snow will persist in the mountains Friday night into Saturday morning, then clearing by Saturday afternoon. Temps will be well below average on Saturday. Expect dry conditions statewide on Sunday as temps warm back to near average.

For next week, Monday and Tuesday should remain dry with temps near seasonal norms. Models suggest next Pacific system will move into CO Tuesday night into Wednesday. Precip will spread into western CO Tuesday night with snow level near 6000 ft then move into eastern CO during the day on Wednesday as snow level lowers below 4000 ft. Snow should begin to diminish Wednesday afternoon and stop Wednesday evening. Snow amounts look decent for mountains and several inches could fall across the foothills and eastern plains as well. Models then keep CO mostly dry with mild temps Thursday into next weekend. Snow and cold air will be just to our north, so if models bring that air mass farther south, CO would see much different weather. We shall see.

Latest snowfall came close to matching our average for January, so we now stand at 49 inches for the season, and our average through the end of January is 72 inches, so we are currently at 68% of our average snowfall through the end of January. We still have a ways to go....

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"Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get" - R. Heinlein.

"Sunshine is delicious, rain is refreshing, wind braces us up, snow is exhilarating; there is really no such thing as bad weather, only different kinds of good weather" - John Ruskin


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 Post subject: Re: Weather Outlook Jan 22-31
Post Posted: Jan 25, 2018 3:59 pm 
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Location: Conifer Mountain
Warm and breezy day across the state today with temps well above average. Southwest winds of 15-40 mph will increase fire danger, with Ref Flag Warning issued over south central CO today. Upper level trough and associated cold front will move into CO tonight bringing cooler air and precip to the mountains. Precip will move into western CO after midnight with snow level near 6000 ft. Precip will move east to about the Front Range Crest by Friday morning as snow level lowers to 4000 ft. Mountains could see 2-6 inches of snow, while areas east of the Front Range Crest will likely remain dry. Western foothills could see a dusting of snow, but that's about it. Precip should taper off by Noon on Friday with just a few lingering flurries in the mountains. Temps will be below average on Friday as winds become northwesterly and remain gusty at times.

Weekend weather looks to remain dry statewide with temps near seasonal norms.

For next week, upper level ridge builds over Co early next week, so dry weather with temps above average Monday and Tuesday. Next upper level trough and associated cold front will move through CO next Wednesday. Cooler temps and some snow down to 4000 ft will be possible during the day on Wednesday into Thursday morning. Snow amounts currently look to remain on the light side, maybe 1-3 inches in the foothills, but that could of course change. Friday into Saturday look to remain cool and mostly dry outside a few mountain flurries. Models then suggest arctic air and snow move across CO next weekend, and temps remain cool to start the following week, with more snow possible later in the week.

_________________
"Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get" - R. Heinlein.

"Sunshine is delicious, rain is refreshing, wind braces us up, snow is exhilarating; there is really no such thing as bad weather, only different kinds of good weather" - John Ruskin


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